Performance of machine-learning approach for prediction of pre-eclampsia in a middle-income country.

OBJECTIVE: Pre-eclampsia (PE) is a serious complication of pregnancy associated with maternal and fetal morbidity and mortality. As current prediction models have limitations and may not be applicable in resource-limited settings, we aimed to develop a machine-learning (ML) algorithm that offers a potential solution for developing accurate and efficient first-trimester prediction of PE. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in Mexico City, Mexico to develop a first-trimester prediction model for preterm PE (pPE) using ML. Maternal characteristics and locally derived multiples of the median (MoM) values for mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index and serum placental growth factor were used for variable selection. The dataset was split into training, validation and test sets. An elastic-net method was employed for predictor selection, and model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rates (DR) at 10% false-positive rates (FPR). RESULTS: The final analysis included 3050 pregnant women, of whom 124 (4.07%) developed PE. The ML model showed good performance, with AUCs of 0.897, 0.963 and 0.778 for pPE, early-onset PE (ePE) and any type of PE (all-PE), respectively. The DRs at 10% FPR were 76.5%, 88.2% and 50.1% for pPE, ePE and all-PE, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our ML model demonstrated high accuracy in predicting pPE and ePE using first-trimester maternal characteristics and locally derived MoM. The model may provide an efficient and accessible tool for early prediction of PE, facilitating timely intervention and improved maternal and fetal outcome. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Eficiencia de un enfoque de aprendizaje automático para la predicción de la preeclampsia en un país de ingresos medios OBJETIVO: La preeclampsia (PE) es una complicación grave del embarazo asociada a morbilidad y mortalidad materna y del feto. Dado que los modelos de predicción actuales tienen limitaciones y pueden no ser aplicables en situaciones con recursos limitados, se propuso desarrollar un algoritmo de aprendizaje automático (AA) que ofrezca una solución con potencial para desarrollar una predicción precisa y eficiente de la PE en el primer trimestre. MÉTODOS: Se realizó un estudio de cohorte prospectivo en Ciudad de México para desarrollar un modelo de predicción de la PE pretérmino (PEp) en el primer trimestre utilizando AA. Para la selección de variables se utilizaron las características maternas y los múltiplos de la mediana (MdM) obtenidos localmente para la presión arterial media, el índice de pulsatilidad de la arteria uterina y el factor de crecimiento placentario sérico. El conjunto de datos se dividió en subconjuntos de datos de entrenamiento, de validación y de test estadístico. Se empleó un método de red elástica para la selección de predictores, y el rendimiento del modelo se evaluó mediante el área bajo la curva de características operativas del receptor (ABC) y las tasas de detección (TD) con tasas de falsos positivos (TFP) del 10%. RESULTADOS: El análisis final incluyó a 3050 mujeres embarazadas, de las cuales 124 (4,07%) desarrollaron PE. El modelo de AA mostró una buena eficiencia, con un ABC de 0,897, 0,963 y 0,778 para la PEp, la PE de aparición temprana (PEat) y cualquier tipo de PE (todas las PE), respectivamente. Las TD con TFP del 10% fueron del 76,5%, 88,2% y 50,1% para la PEp, PEat y todas las PE, respectivamente. CONCLUSIONES: Nuestro modelo de AA demostró una alta precisión en la predicción de la PEp y la PEat utilizando características maternas del primer trimestre y MdM calculados localmente. El modelo puede proporcionar una herramienta eficiente y accesible para la predicción temprana de la PE, facilitando la intervención oportuna y la mejora de los resultados maternos y del feto.

Comorbidity, poverty and social vulnerability as risk factors for mortality in pregnant women with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection: analysis of 13 062 positive pregnancies including 176 maternal deaths in Mexico.

OBJECTIVE: Mortality in pregnancy due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a current health priority in developing countries. Identification of clinical and sociodemographic risk factors related to mortality in pregnant women with COVID-19 could guide public policy and encourage such women to accept vaccination. We aimed to evaluate the association of comorbidities and socioeconomic determinants with COVID-19-related mortality and severe disease in pregnant women in Mexico. METHODS: This is an ongoing nationwide prospective cohort study that includes all pregnant women with a positive reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction result for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from the Mexican National Registry of Coronavirus. The primary outcome was maternal death due to COVID-19. The association of comorbidities and socioeconomic characteristics with maternal death was explored using a log-binomial regression model adjusted for possible confounders. RESULTS: There were 176 (1.35%) maternal deaths due to COVID-19 among 13 062 consecutive SARS-CoV-2-positive pregnant women. Maternal age, as a continuous (adjusted relative risk (aRR), 1.08 (95% CI, 1.05-1.10)) or categorical variable, was associated with maternal death due to COVID-19; women aged 35-39 years (aRR, 3.16 (95% CI, 2.34-4.26)) or 40 years or older (aRR, 4.07 (95% CI, 2.65-6.25)) had a higher risk for mortality, as compared with those aged < 35 years. Other clinical risk factors associated with maternal mortality were pre-existing diabetes (aRR, 2.66 (95% CI, 1.65-4.27)), chronic hypertension (aRR, 1.75 (95% CI, 1.02-3.00)) and obesity (aRR, 2.15 (95% CI, 1.46-3.17)). Very high social vulnerability (aRR, 1.88 (95% CI, 1.26-2.80)) and high social vulnerability (aRR, 1.49 (95% CI, 1.04-2.13)) were associated with an increased risk of maternal mortality, while very low social vulnerability was associated with a reduced risk (aRR, 0.47 (95% CI, 0.30-0.73)). Being poor or extremely poor were also risk factors for maternal mortality (aRR, 1.53 (95% CI, 1.09-2.15) and aRR, 1.83 (95% CI, 1.32-2.53), respectively). CONCLUSION: This study, which comprises the largest prospective consecutive cohort of pregnant women with COVID-19 to date, has confirmed that advanced maternal age, pre-existing diabetes, chronic hypertension, obesity, high social vulnerability and low socioeconomic status are risk factors for COVID-19-related maternal mortality. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Increased levels of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 are associated with adverse outcome in pregnant women with COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: In addition to the lungs, the placenta and the endothelium can be affected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PlGF) are markers of endothelial dysfunction and could potentially serve as predictors of severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to investigate the association of serum concentrations of sFlt-1 and PlGF with the severity of COVID-19 in pregnancy. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study carried out in a tertiary care hospital in Mexico City, Mexico. Symptomatic pregnant women with a positive reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction test for SARS-CoV-2 infection who fulfilled the criteria for hospitalization were included. The primary outcome was severe pneumonia due to COVID-19. Secondary outcomes were intensive care unit (ICU) admission, viral sepsis and maternal death. sFlt-1 levels were expressed as multiples of the median (MoM). The association between sFlt-1 and each adverse outcome was explored by logistic regression analysis, adjusted for gestational age for outcomes occurring in more than five patients, and the predictive performance was assessed by receiver-operating-characteristics-curve analysis. RESULTS: Among 113 pregnant women with COVID-19, higher sFlt-1 MoM was associated with an increased probability of severe pneumonia (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.817 (95% CI, 1.365-2.418)), ICU admission (aOR, 2.195 (95% CI, 1.582-3.047)), viral sepsis (aOR, 2.318 (95% CI, 1.407-3.820)) and maternal death (unadjusted OR, 5.504 (95% CI, 1.079-28.076)). At a 10% false-positive rate, sFlt-1 MoM had detection rates of 45.2%, 66.7%, 83.3% and 100% for severe COVID-19 pneumonia, ICU admission, viral sepsis and maternal death, respectively. PlGF values were similar between women with severe and those with non-severe COVID-19 pneumonia. CONCLUSION: sFlt-1 MoM is higher in pregnant women with severe COVID-19 and has the capability to predict serious adverse pregnancy events, such as severe pneumonia, ICU admission, viral sepsis and maternal death. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Evidence of possible SARS-CoV-2 vertical transmission according to World Health Organization criteria in asymptomatic pregnant women.

OBJECTIVE: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vertical transmission has been investigated extensively. Recently, the World Health Organization (WHO) published strict criteria to classify the timing of mother-to-child transmission of SARS-CoV-2 into different categories. The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of vertical transmission in asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-positive women. METHODS: Pregnant women attending for delivery at a perinatology center in Mexico City, Mexico, who had a SARS-CoV-2-positive nasopharyngeal swab 24-48 h before delivery, were asymptomatic at the time of the test and had an obstetric indication for Cesarean section were eligible for inclusion in this study. Amniotic fluid was collected during Cesarean delivery, and neonatal oral and rectal swabs were collected at birth and at 24 h after birth. SARS-CoV-2 detection was carried out using real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction in all samples. Relevant medical information was retrieved from clinical records. The WHO criteria for classifying the timing of mother-to-child transmission of SARS-CoV-2 were applied to the study population. RESULTS: Forty-two SARS-CoV-2-positive asymptomatic pregnant women fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Twenty-five (59%) women developed mild disease after discharge. Neonatal death occurred in three (7%) cases, of which one had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test at birth and none had coronavirus disease 2019-related symptoms. There were five (12%) cases with strong evidence of intrauterine transmission of SARS-CoV-2, according to the WHO criteria, as amniotic fluid samples and neonatal samples at birth and at 24 h after birth were positive for SARS-CoV-2. Our results also showed that 40-60% of infected neonates would have been undetected if only one swab (oral or rectal) was tested. CONCLUSION: This study contributes evidence to reinforce the potential for vertical transmission of SARS-CoV-2 even in asymptomatic women and highlights the importance of testing more than one neonatal sample in order to increase the detection rate of SARS-CoV-2 in affected cases. © 2021 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 infection are at higher risk of death and pneumonia: propensity score matched analysis of a nationwide prospective cohort (COV19Mx).

OBJECTIVE: There are limited, unmatched data reporting low complication rates in pregnant women with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The aim of this study was to compare COVID-19-related outcomes between pregnant and non-pregnant women after adjusting for potential risk factors for severe outcomes. METHODS: Data were obtained from the COVID-19 National Data Registry of Mexico, which is an ongoing prospective cohort of people of any age with clinically suspected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and admitted to 475 monitoring hospitals. This study included pregnant and non-pregnant women of reproductive age (15-45 years) with COVID-19 confirmed by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. To adjust for underlying risk factors, propensity score matching was conducted for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, smoking, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, obesity, diabetes, chronic renal disease, immunosuppression, age, language, nationality and level of health insurance. The primary outcome was death. Secondary outcomes were pneumonia, intubation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. RESULTS: The cohort comprised 5183 pregnant and 175 905 non-pregnant women with COVID-19. The crude (unmatched) rates of death, pneumonia, intubation and ICU admission in pregnant compared with non-pregnant women were 1.5% vs 1.5%, 9.9% vs 6.5%, 8.1% vs 9.9% and 13.0% vs 6.9%, respectively. After propensity score matching (5183 pregnant and 5183 non-pregnant matched women), pregnant women had a higher odds of death (odds ratio (OR), 1.84; 95% CI, 1.26-2.69), pneumonia (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.60-2.16) and ICU admission (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.41-2.45) than non-pregnant women, but similar odds of intubation (OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.70-1.25). CONCLUSION: After adjusting for background demographic and medical factors, pregnancy is a risk factor for death, pneumonia and ICU admission in SARS-CoV-2-infected women of reproductive age. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Oxidative modifications of foetal LDL-c and HDL-c lipoproteins in preeclampsia.

BACKGROUND: Oxidative modifications have been observed in lipids and proteins in lipoproteins isolated from women with preeclampsia. Thus, newborns could also be susceptible to this damage directly through their mothers. In this study, we evaluated the oxidative profile of LDL-c and HDL-c lipoproteins isolated from the umbilical cord from newborns born to women with preeclampsia. METHODS: Thirty newborns born to women with preeclampsia and thirty newborns born to women with healthy pregnancies were included. Lipid-damage biomarkers, including conjugated dienes, lipohydroperoxides and malondialdehyde, were measured. The reduction of nitroblue tetrazolium, formation of dityrosines, and carbonylation of proteins were assessed as indicators of protein damage. The protective activity of paraoxonase-I on HDL-c particles was evaluated. The total antioxidant capacity and lipid profiles were quantified in plasma. Data were analysed using Student's t-tests and Pearson correlation coefficients. RESULTS: Compared with the control group, the preeclampsia group had an increase in the percentage of lipid damage in both lipoproteins. There was an increase of 23.3 and 19.9% for conjugated dienes, 82.4 and 21.1% for lipohydroperoxides, and 103.8 and 51.5% for malondialdehyde in LDL-c and HDL-c, respectively. However, these infants did not show evident damage in protein oxidation. The activity of the enzyme paraoxonase-I was decreased by 36.2%; by contrast, the total antioxidant capacity was increased by 40% (protein) and 28.8% (non-protein). CONCLUSIONS: The oxidative modifications that occur in HDL-c and LDL-c isolated from newborns from women with preeclampsia are mainly caused by lipoperoxidation processes related to evident paraoxonase-I inactivation. The absence of protein damage is likely linked to an increase in total antioxidant capacity. Therefore, antioxidant support could be helpful in reducing oxidative stress in mother/newborn dyads.

Hemorragia obstétrica manejada con balón de Bakri / Obstetric hemorrhage management with the Bakri SOS balloon

Antecedentes: La Organización Mundial de la Salud reporta que existen en el mundo 536.000 muertes maternas al año, de las cuales 140.000 son originadas por hemorragia obstétrica, representando el 25% del total de dichas muertes. En México, se considera la segunda causa de muerte materna, con una tasa de mortalidad de 14,3 por 100.000 nacidos vivos. Objetivo: Conocer el porcentaje de éxitos de las pacientes con hemorragia obstétrica tratadas con balón de Bakri en el Instituto Nacional de Perinatología. Material y métodos: Se analizó una serie de casos, durante 2 años (2009-2011) en pacientes complicadas con hemorragia obstétrica, las cuales recibieron manejo conservador con balón de Bakri. Se encontró a 19 pacientes y se describieron los antecedentes obstétricos, personales, control prenatal, atención obstétrica, parámetros de laboratorios y desenlace perinatal. Resultados: El porcentaje de éxito con el balón de Bakri fue del 95% y solo el 5% se consideró fallido, ameritando histerectomía obstétrica. La pérdida hemática promedio fue 1.290 cc, con diferencia de 4 g/dl en los controles de hemoglobina pre- y posquirúrgicos. Dos días promedio de estancia en unidad de cuidados intensivos. El peso promedio de los recién nacidos fue 2.580 g y el 63% fue de sexo femenino. No se reportaron complicaciones por el uso del balón de Bakri. Se realizó una fórmula para estimar el llenado de balón en cc = 41 + (11 × semanas de gestación). Conclusión: El uso del balón de Bakri puede ser útil en el manejo conservador ante una hemorragia obstétrica con una tasa considerable de éxito y sin reportes de complicación debida al uso

Background: The World Health Organization reports that 536,000 maternal deaths occur per year, of which 140,000 are caused by obstetric hemorrhage, representing 25% of all maternal deaths. In Mexico, obstetric hemorrhage is the second cause of maternal death, with a mortality rate of 14.3/100,000 newborns. Objective: To describe the success rate in obstetric hemorrhage patients treated with the Bakri SOS balloon in the National Institute of Perinatology. Material and methods: From 2009- 2011, data were collected from obstetric hemorrhage patients (n = 19) who were treated conservatively with the Bakri SOS balloon in the Institute. Data on obstetric and personal history, prenatal care, obstetric care, laboratory values and perinatal outcomes were obtained. Results: The success rate with the Bakri SOS balloon was 95%, with a failure rate of only 5%; these patients required further hysterectomy. The mean blood loss was 1,290 cc, with a difference of 4 g of hemoglobin before and after surgery. The mean length of stay in the intensive care unit was 2 days. The mean birth weight was 2,580 g, and 63% of the neonates were females. There were no incidents or complications with the use of the Bakri SOS balloon. The formula to estimate balloon filling was cc = 41 + (11 × gestational age). Conclusion: The Bakri SOS balloon can be helpful to treat obstetric hemorrhage and has high success rates and no complications

PP134. l-Arginine supplementation induces the expression of genes related to antioxidant defense in cultures of human vascular endothelial cells: Protective role for preeclampsia.

INTRODUCTION: Recently, it has been proposed that supplementation with l-Arginine reduces the incidence of preeclampsia in high risk women, but the molecular mechanisms involved in the protective effect need to be determined. In addition, a critical role of l-Arginine in endothelial cell survival during oxidative stress, and the participation of neutrophils in the induction of oxidative stress during preeclampsia have been suggested. OBJECTIVES: To address if supplementation with l-arginine provides antioxidant defense in human vascular endothelial cells. METHODS: Human vascular endothelial cells (HUVECs) were isolated from umbilical cord veins obtained from healthy women underwent cesarean sections at term, with no evidence of hypertension disorders through the pregnancy. HUVECs were cultured in EndoGro media with LS supplement kit and 1% antibiotic with (n=10) or without 200uM l-Arginine (n=10). Confluent HUVECs were stimulated with neutrophils activated with 50umol/L arachidonic acid (1:16 ratio of neutrophil/cells). After incubation, cells were rinsed in PBS and harvested for RNA and protein extraction. Reverse transcription was performed using the RT(2) First Strand kit, and expression gene profiling was generated using the RT(2) Profiler PCR Array Human Oxidative Stress and Antioxidant Defense that includes the expression profile of 84 genes related to the oxidative pathway. Expression results were analyzed with the RT(2) Profiler PCR Array Data Analysis Template v3.0 and two different lists of fold change in gene expression were generated: (1) HUVEC+neutrophils vs HUVEC+l-Arginine + neutrophils and (2) HUVEC vs HUVEC+neutrophils. Validation of the expression assays was performed using western blots or ELISAS for proteins expressed by selected genes. RESULTS: Fold up- or down gene regulation are shown in Table 1. Forty six genes involved in oxidative stress defense were significantly up-regulated in HUVECs supplemented with l-arginine when were exposed to neutrophils. Interestingly, almost the same genes were down-regulated in non-supplemented HUVECs after neutrophil exposure. CONCLUSION: Supplementation with l-Arginine upregulates the expression of genes related to antioxidant defense in primary cultures of endothelial cells. This finding provides a novel insight about the molecular mechanisms involved in the protective role of l-Arginine during preeclampsia.